Calculating Profit and Loss ASEAN-China FTA

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To strengthen and enhance economic cooperation, including trade and investment, ASEAN countries and China agreed to free trade agreements. Ratification of cooperation related stipulated in Presidential Decree No. 48 of 2004.

ASEAN economic cooperation, China is expected to improve the welfare of the people in their respective countries. In order to realize the big dream, agreed to reduce trade barriers so as to create trade with lower cost. In addition, also agreed to increase trade and intra-regional investment and improve economic efficiency.

Steps to achieve that, among other things, with the progressive elimination of tariff barriers and trade nontarif in all things. Liberalization of trade in goods and services progressively with a significant sector coverage. So, where is the position of the agricultural sector in the ASEAN-China FTA is this?

Free Trade Agreement ASEAN-China (FTA) for the agricultural sector is actually a reaction to the breakdown of negotiations related to the liberalization of the agricultural sector in the World Trade Organization (WTO).

It is difficult for Indonesia to reject this free trade agreement. Denial will only make isolated from Indonesia regional trade stage. On the other hand, reject the ASEAN-China FTA is not automatically going to make a strong domestic economy.

Without accepting the ASEAN-China FTA too, would be inundated Indonesia imported products from China, which entered through the ASEAN countries other, which previously had been tied to regional cooperation.

Meanwhile, when Indonesia was involved in the ASEAN-China FTA, also not without problems. Indonesia, with 230 million inhabitants, is a very big market for commodities and products in China. Prior to the ASEAN-China FTA implemented, various products from China are flooding the Indonesian domestic market.

Many Indonesian commodities and products that are difficult to compete with imported products from China. In fact, the industry producing these products, as well as the cultivation of agricultural commodities, become the foundation of life of millions of people of Indonesia.

As a nation, Indonesia did not need to lose heart against this wave of free trade as long as all the “homework” that is, since the ratification was signed in 2004, done and done well. That homework is to increase capacity and production quality so that the competitiveness of commodities and products of Indonesia increased.

Minister of Agriculture Suswono states, the ASEAN-China FTA is a policy that was agreed upon. Therefore, a better effort when faced with increased capacity, production, and quality of Indonesian agricultural commodities. This was necessary because Indonesia can not survive forever strategy. Sooner or later, free trade will happen.

Therefore, the government will encourage greater export competitiveness of superior agricultural products, such as oil palm, rubber, chocolate, mangosteen, salak, pineapple, and other horticultural commodities.

For plantation subsector, perhaps Indonesia does not need to worry. Balance of trade in Indonesian plantation products-China post-EHP (early harvest program / acceleration of the reduction or elimination of tariffs) is positive and rising.

In the year 2004 the trade balance of plantation products-China Indonesia surplus only 763.63 million U.S. dollars, year 2008 rose by almost three-fold to 2.757 billion U.S. dollars.

According to the Director General of Processing and Marketing of Agricultural Products Ministry of Agriculture Dennis Bacharuddin, from 20 main agricultural commodities exported to China, Indonesia, dominated by plantation commodities. Commodities in the form of primary commodities or processed products.

Plantation commodities that dominate Indonesia’s exports are palm oil, palm kernel oil, rubber, SIR 20, a rubber sheet, oil, copra, cocoa and half-broken broken, polybutadiene styrene rubber (SBR), margarine rather than canned, with a mixture of ammonia rubber, rubber with a mixture silica, as well as roasted coffee does not contain caffeine.

Blow

In contrast to the plantation, food crops, horticulture, and livestock instead faced a serious challenge. Yet these subsectors become the foundation of life most of the people of Indonesia.

Balance of trade in food crops in Indonesia, China 2004 deficit of 43.031 million U.S. dollars. In 2008 the deficit ballooned to U.S. $ 109.531 million.

Horticultural commodity trade balance deficit of U.S. $ 150.282 million (2004) and the 2008 deficit of U.S. $ 434.403 million. The livestock commodity trade balance deficit in 2004 U.S. dollars 7.798 million, and in 2008 became a deficit 17.948 million U.S. dollars.

Although the aggregate trade balance surplus in Indonesia increased, it does not necessarily encourage greater welfare of Indonesian society. Moreover, the three sub-sectors of the hangers having lived the majority of the blows.

Ministry of Agriculture data show, in 2009 the amount of labor in plantation sub-sector is only 19.7 million people or 45.7 percent of total agricultural labor force.

Of the 19.7 million people, only about 8 million people are absorbed in the oil palm and rubber. The rest of the other plantation commodities. Oil palm and rubber plantations cultivated more large, both state and private property.

As for food crops, horticulture, and livestock to absorb more than 30 million workers. Thus, errors in conducting the governance of three subsectors of agriculture that will directly mengimbas on economy joints masses.

Therefore, it is time the government made major steps to accelerate the development of the agricultural sector at any cost. Without the free trade of ASEAN-China will become the gate only the misery of the people.

Dubai syndrome affected

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Many people are dazzled by the opportunities in Dubai. Like ants that approached the sugar, the other Arabs flocking to Dubai. Unfortunately, the current situation has turned around.

Not a few migrant workers who were forced to leave beloved Dubai as the financial crisis that hit Dubai. Friends Mahmoud Tamimi said that as a syndrome of Dubai. Tamimi (31) has a nice apartment and a job in Dubai. Luxury apartment, a salary of 3700 U.S. dollars per month or about USD 35 million. The amount is tens of times more than the salary he received in his hometown, Jordan.

The situation is reversed last year. The financial crisis makes Tamimi lost their jobs. Because the apartment must be returned to the company when he was dismissed, Tamimi had to get out of the apartment.

Currently she huddled in a small apartment with his wife and two children and seven other family members in the slum area in Amman, Jordan. He is now looking for a job whose salary is obviously much smaller than he received in Dubai.

Fall Dubai not only affect the situation in the country town. Big promises the people in the financial sector of the financial miracle of Dubai is also increasingly in doubt. In fact, before the financial crisis on Dubai, engorgement of economic growth in Dubai has forced migrant workers, such as Tamimi, returned to his hometown.

Back to the country of origin for re-Tamimi is a small salary and face employment shortages in the country.

Shipments declined

The situation is affecting families in the Middle East is highly dependent on transfers from migrant workers in the Persian Gulf region and keemiratan like Dubai.

Of course, bad news from Dubai is also bad news for the Arab world is experiencing economic stagnation, high unemployment and low wages that have been frustrating the youth there.

According to World Bank estimates, money transfers from abroad who send migrant workers or remitansi expected to decline by seven percent this year across the Middle East and Arab countries in North Africa. This decrease is the first in the last decade.

In some countries, the situation is even worse. Remitansi from migrant workers to Egypt has been reduced to only a quarter of last year compared with the previous year. This report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), last October.

Arab workers work everywhere, including to Europe. However, the Gulf countries have become rich remitansi source to the Middle East. Dubai is one of the driving machine.

Dubai is built from the booming tourism trade and the fruits of migrant workers, such as Tamimi. Only one in 10 inhabitants of Dubai who numbered 1.5 million is a native of Dubai.

Impact everywhere

Not only the Arab expatriates who have been affected by the economic decline in Dubai. The impact is also felt by blue-collar workers from India and South Asia are generally low-paid work in the field of construction, such as the construction of the world’s tallest tower, Burj Khalifa. Philippines people who fill many jobs in service sector also felt the impact. They all lose their jobs in Dubai. In fact, workers who are still alive and living in Dubai is expected to send less money to his hometown. Thus the World Bank economists estimate, Dilip Ratha.

Tamimi now can only remember the beautiful days in Dubai.

Automotive Credit Bank Niaga Grow 25 Percent

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-made automotive sector as one of the focus in credit growth in 2010. That’s because the credit is always the automotive sector grew significantly in recent years.

Per 30 September 2009, for example, the number of loans that have been disbursed for a motor vehicle loans Rp 7.5 trillion, an increase of 25 percent compared to the same position the previous year. This amount contributed 33 percent of the total credits Retail Bank Niaga.

Thus disclosed Business Banking Director, CIMB Niaga Handoyo signing Soebali dealer financing cooperation with PT Mazda Motor Indonesia (MMI) Monday (1/2/2010). In the cooperation, CIMB Niaga helping working capital needs of Mazda dealers in the purchase of vehicles from the MMI as Sole Agent Brand Holder (ATPM).

For MMI, this funding helps dealers mazda to stay focused on increasing population and vehicle sales to provide certainty of payment to MMI. As for CIMB Niaga, this cooperation is expected to increase the loan portfolio to the automotive sector and strengthen its position in the automotive value chain.

“We are optimistic that vehicle sales in 2010 better than 2009. Belief is supported by several factors, such as Indonesia’s economy improved and increased purchasing power,” said Handoyo Soebali. According to him, similar k erjasama will continue to be developed with other ATPM in Indonesia.

In the meantime, Yoshiya Horigome, President of MMI said, Indonesia’s automotive industry remains one of the potential and strong in facing the challenges the automotive market compared to other Southeast Asian countries.

Exports in December 2009 Print History

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Indonesia’s export value in December 2009 is the highest in recorded history of Indonesia reached 13.33 billion U.S. dollars or an increase of 23.69 percent compared to November 2009.

“This is the highest exports in Indonesian history.’ve Never reached the top 13.33 billion,” said Head Statistics Rusman Heriawan during a press conference at the BPS Office, Jakarta, Monday (1/2/2010).

According Rusman, December exports soaring because the contribution of export value of some commodity vegetable oil, copper, and coal. “Three things that are helping our exports and almost all export destination countries increase exports to December,” Rusman said.

The increased value of exports in December, according to Rusman, is a signal that the world economic recovery of Indonesia’s export surged along with the ability to buy a subscription that country also increased. Increasing exports is caused also by the non-oil exports increased by 28.30 percent and increased exports of oil and gas, although only 7.07 percent compared to November 2009